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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Deportes Limache v Universidad de Chile

2026-08-15 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Deportes Limache (主队)

预测 27.70%3.61公平赔率
EV -0.295%
优势 -0.082%
Kelly -0.114%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.41%27.71%27.56%29.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.283.303.6033.33%30.49%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Universidad de Chile (客队)

预测 46.47%2.15公平赔率
EV -4.28%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -4.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
44.97%46.38%46.46%47.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.961.962.0654.05%50.90%50.89%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.84%3.87公平赔率
EV -4.39%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
24.95%25.91%25.98%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.523.553.7030.77%28.39%28.17%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Deportes Limache (主队)：27.70%；Universidad de Chile (客队)：46.47%；平局：25.84%。 对于“Deportes Limache (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-0.295%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -0.295%E -0.082%K -0.114%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -5.69%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 03:25
GTbets🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -2.79%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -6.39%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -6.61%E -3.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 00:15
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.08%EV -6.67%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.28%E -2.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.99%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 01:30
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:54
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.00%E -4.04%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:55
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 01:19
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 00:30
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -16.02%E -4.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -16.02%E -4.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 01:19
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -16.02%E -4.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 01:19
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.25%E -5.89%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-10 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -11.72%E -6.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.85%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -14.04%E -7.59%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-10 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.99%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 00:20
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 00:19
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.07%E -3.53%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -12.65%E -6.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-10 00:20
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 00:19
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -16.91%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.39%E -4.82%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-10 00:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 27.79%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%8.0%2026-08-10 03:35
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 27.07%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.07%17.3%2026-08-10 00:30