L’École des cotes

Deportes Limache v La Serena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Score final : La Serena 4–1 Deportes Limache

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prévision 33.53%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.600%
Avantage +0.200%
Kelly +0.300%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.95%33.57%33.49%35.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.722.703.0041.67%36.77%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

La Serena (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.48%2.53cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.31%39.45%39.52%40.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.322.4846.51%42.84%43.10%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.99%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%26.98%26.99%28.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.373.403.6034.72%29.68%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV +0.600%E +0.200%K +0.300%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:50
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV +0.600%E +0.200%K +0.300%G +0.002%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.04%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:50
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -2.75%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -2.75%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 18:49
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.44%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -8.40%E -3.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -5.44%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:49
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:49
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 18:50
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:50
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:49
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 08:39
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 08:40
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.80%E -3.64%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.02%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.06%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -10.13%E -3.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.09%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 04:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -15.12%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 18:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.14%E -4.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 18:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -12.14%E -4.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -15.12%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.17%E -6.47%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -19.52%E -8.13%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -22.28%E -7.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%4.0%2026-05-24 18:50