مدرسة الاحتمالات

Deportes Limache v La Serena

البداية: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: La Serena 4–1 Deportes Limache

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Deportes Limache (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.53%2.98السعر العادل
EV +0.600%
الأفضلية +0.200%
Kelly +0.300%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.95%33.57%33.49%35.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.722.703.0041.67%36.77%37.04%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

La Serena (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.48%2.53السعر العادل
EV -2.09%
الأفضلية -0.842%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.31%39.45%39.52%40.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.332.322.4846.51%42.84%43.10%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.99%3.71السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -0.792%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.92%26.98%26.99%28.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.373.403.6034.72%29.68%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV +0.600%E +0.200%K +0.300%G +0.002%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:50
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV +0.600%E +0.200%K +0.300%G +0.002%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.04%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 18:50
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -2.75%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -2.75%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:50
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 18:49
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.44%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -8.40%E -3.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -5.44%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:49
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:49
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 18:50
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:50
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 18:49
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 08:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 08:39
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 08:40
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.80%E -3.64%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.02%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.06%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -10.13%E -3.78%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.09%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 04:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-21 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -15.12%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 18:50
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.14%E -4.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 18:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -12.14%E -4.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -15.12%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 18:50
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.17%E -6.47%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -19.52%E -8.13%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -22.28%E -7.74%K -11.85%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-24 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-05-24 18:50
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%4.0%2026-05-24 18:50