Idioma:Español
Deportes Limache v La Serena
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Limache (Local)
Predicción 33.53%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.600%
Ventaja +0.200%
Kelly +0.300%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.95%33.57%33.49%35.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.722.703.0041.67%36.77%37.04%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
La Serena (Visitante)
Predicción 39.48%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.842%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.31%39.45%39.52%40.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.322.4846.51%42.84%43.10%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.99%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%26.98%26.99%28.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.6034.72%29.68%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportes Limache (Local): 33.53%; La Serena (Visitante): 39.48%; Empate: 26.99%. Para Deportes Limache (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.98. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.600%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV +0.600%E +0.200%K +0.300%G +0.002% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV +0.600%E +0.200%K +0.300%G +0.002% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.04%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.07%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.99%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -2.75%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -2.75%E -0.950%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -3.42%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.17%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.44%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -8.40%E -3.62%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -5.44%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.79%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.49%EV -8.01%E -3.44%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.98%E -4.38%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.78%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -4.06%E -1.67%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.46%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.80%E -3.64%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.02%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.06%EV -6.36%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -10.13%E -3.78%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -2.09%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -15.12%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.14%E -4.63%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -12.14%E -4.63%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -15.12%E -7.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -16.17%E -6.47%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.19%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -19.52%E -8.13%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -22.28%E -7.74%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 18:50 |