Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache v Huachipato

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prediction 43.86%2.28fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.91%43.91%43.84%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.092.102.2152.63%47.85%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huachipato (Visit)

Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.03%29.03%30.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.143.103.4034.72%31.83%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -0.782%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.294%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%27.06%27.13%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.303.6634.72%29.95%30.30%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Limache (Local): 43.86%; Huachipato (Visit): 29.03%; Draw: 27.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.66, with an expected value of -0.782%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -3.08%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -9.41%E -3.02%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -11.63%E -3.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 05:57
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:45
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -1.86%E -0.551%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -2.95%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.70%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.04%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -0.782%E -0.214%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.68%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:53
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 20:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:44
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.97%EV -5.35%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.90%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-23 01:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 20:44
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 20:46
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 20:54
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.78%E -4.22%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.78%E -4.22%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 20:44
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 20:49
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 20:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 20:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 20:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 20:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -13.60%E -6.90%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.54%EV -14.48%E -7.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.98%EV -12.71%E -3.95%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 20:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -16.23%E -8.50%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -16.38%E -5.69%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.93%E -7.61%K -11.66%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-28 20:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 43.90%EV -16.67%E -8.77%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.34%EV -17.32%E -5.68%K -8.45%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-02-28 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-02-28 20:55