La escuela de los momios

Deportes Limache v Huachipato

Inicio: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Predicción 43.86%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.91%43.91%43.84%46.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.092.102.2152.63%47.85%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huachipato (Visitante)

Predicción 29.03%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.534%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.03%29.03%30.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.143.103.4034.72%31.83%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV -0.782%
Ventaja -0.214%
Kelly -0.294%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%27.06%27.13%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.303.6634.72%29.95%30.30%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -3.08%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -9.41%E -3.02%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -11.63%E -3.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 05:57
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:39
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:40
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.53%EV -5.27%E -2.44%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 01:45
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.71%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -1.86%E -0.551%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -2.95%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.70%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.04%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -0.782%E -0.214%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.68%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:55
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:53
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.71%E -2.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 20:44
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:44
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.28%E -0.377%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 20:44
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.97%EV -5.35%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.90%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:54
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.15%E -2.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 01:39
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -7.02%E -3.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-23 01:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 20:44
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 20:46
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 20:54
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -8.54%E -2.71%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 20:44
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:44
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.90%E -3.76%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:44
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -8.34%E -3.99%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 20:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.78%E -4.22%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.78%E -4.22%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.64%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 20:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 20:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 20:44
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 20:39
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.09%E -4.92%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.99%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 20:48
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 20:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.29%E -6.14%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 20:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -13.60%E -6.90%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.54%EV -14.48%E -7.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -11.44%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.98%EV -12.71%E -3.95%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 20:54
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -15.36%E -7.96%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -16.23%E -8.50%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -16.38%E -5.69%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -21.93%E -7.61%K -11.66%G +0.000%21.8%2026-02-28 20:49
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.90%EV -16.67%E -8.77%K -18.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.34%EV -17.32%E -5.68%K -8.45%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-02-28 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-02-28 20:49
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.3%2026-02-28 20:55