Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Deportes Limache v Cobresal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 23:00 UTC

Score final : Deportes Limache 3–0 Cobresal

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prévision 62.97%1.59cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -5.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.97%62.81%63.03%64.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.471.471.5471.94%68.10%68.03%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cobresal (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.16%5.83cote équitable
EV +2.93%
Avantage +0.489%
Kelly +0.587%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.55%17.15%17.20%19.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.275.226.0022.22%18.97%19.14%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.88%5.03cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.96%20.05%19.77%21.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.494.504.8924.39%22.26%22.22%20.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Deportes Limache (Local) : 62.97% ; Cobresal (Visiteur) : 17.16% ; Match nul : 19.88%. Pour Cobresal (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.83. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.93%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.93%E +0.489%K +0.587%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV -3.59%E -0.740%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.52%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV +1.22%E +0.206%K +0.249%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.52%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +0.017%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.61%EV -2.79%E -0.571%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.98%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -2.21%E -0.388%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:45
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.55%EV -9.96%E -6.96%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.26%EV -4.10%E -0.734%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 22:45
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.58%E -0.955%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 22:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:55
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.98%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -14.52%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -5.64%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -6.50%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 22:50
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.39%EV -7.96%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -8.07%E -5.53%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 22:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.41%EV -8.70%E -6.00%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -7.36%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 22:34
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -5.58%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -9.93%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.62%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -10.79%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.20%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -4.58%E -0.955%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.10%EV -12.48%E -8.98%K -31.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -12.51%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -11.54%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -12.53%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -10.59%E -7.46%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -6.57%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 22:34
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 22:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 22:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.51%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.51%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -16.51%E -3.93%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -11.85%E -8.46%K -29.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -14.22%E -2.84%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -6.18%E -4.15%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -18.50%E -4.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.50%E -4.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -7.44%E -5.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.94%E -3.25%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -18.50%E -4.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -17.65%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -9.33%E -6.48%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -22.80%E -5.07%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.83%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.57%0.2%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-09-07 22:50
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-09-07 22:50
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-09-07 22:55