The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Deportes Concepción v Universidad de Concepción

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 48.67%2.05fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.92%48.23%48.93%49.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.891.872.0054.05%52.94%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Visit)

Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.51%24.08%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.803.9428.57%26.70%26.32%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%27.26%26.99%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.303.5031.25%29.92%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportes Concepción (Local): 48.67%; Universidad de Concepción (Visit): 24.12%; Draw: 27.22%. For Deportes Concepción (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.67%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.67%E -1.33%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 19:15
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 48.99%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.00%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:50
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -8.11%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -5.29%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:25
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 19:19
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -8.02%E -4.24%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -5.29%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 19:19
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.99%E -4.81%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 16:54
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.99%E -4.81%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 16:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.35%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 16:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 17:45
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.91%E -4.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.