Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Deportes Concepción v Universidad de Concepción

Inizio: 2026-08-09 16:30 UTC

Finale: Deportes Concepción 1–0 Universidad de Concepción

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Deportes Concepción (Casa)

Previsione 46.74%2.14quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.74%47.00%46.83%50.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.941.952.0655.25%51.52%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.20%3.97quota equa
EV +6.10%
Vantaggio +1.45%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescita +0.116%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.10%25.06%25.17%26.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.773.704.2129.41%26.53%27.03%23.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.06%3.56quota equa
EV +0.176%
Vantaggio +0.049%
Kelly +0.069%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.62%27.93%28.00%29.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.283.303.5732.26%30.49%30.30%28.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Deportes Concepción (Casa): 46.74%; Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta): 25.20%; Pareggio: 28.06%. Per Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.97. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.21, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.01%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV +6.10%E +1.45%K +1.90%G +0.116%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -13.53%E -7.32%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:54
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -13.53%E -7.32%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -13.53%E -7.32%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -13.53%E -7.32%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:55
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -13.53%E -7.32%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -14.47%E -7.91%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-06 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -15.40%E -8.51%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -15.40%E -8.51%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.98%E -0.773%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.12%E -2.52%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -5.12%E -2.52%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:05
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:24
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:09
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -13.53%E -7.32%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 16:09
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.70%EV -3.72%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV +0.176%E +0.049%K +0.069%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 16:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -6.84%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 16:10
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.86%E -4.54%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.86%E -4.54%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.86%E -4.54%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.86%E -4.54%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.86%E -4.54%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 15:50
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.86%E -4.54%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-09 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-09 16:25