A Escola das Odds

Deportes Concepción v Ñublense

Início: 2026-03-06 23:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Previsão 37.22%2.69odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.78%37.14%37.19%38.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.462.502.6044.44%40.60%40.08%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ñublense (Visitante)

Previsão 33.15%3.02odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -0.951%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.12%33.26%33.08%34.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.722.702.9640.00%36.78%37.04%33.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.62%3.38odd justa
EV +0.128%
Vantagem +0.038%
Kelly +0.054%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.38%29.60%29.73%31.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.083.103.3838.02%32.47%32.26%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -8.43%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -2.53%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 23:29
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:30
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:30
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.53%EV -1.86%E -0.630%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.00%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:29
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 23:29
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-06 23:29
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 23:30
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 23:29
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:25
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 23:30
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.02%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.57%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 23:27
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 23:29
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 23:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 23:30
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -13.80%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -13.80%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 23:30
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -13.80%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 23:29
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.32%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 23:29
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:30
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -15.46%E -6.06%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-06 23:29
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:29
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-06 23:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 23:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 23:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 23:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 23:29
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -11.41%E -4.79%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-06 23:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.39%E -6.26%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -13.14%E -5.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-06 23:29
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -16.25%E -7.22%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.29%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -17.05%E -6.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-06 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.39%E -6.26%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.92%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.29%EV -22.09%E -8.40%K -13.55%G +0.000%21.5%2026-03-06 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%0.7%2026-03-06 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-03-06 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-03-06 23:30