Langue:Français
Deportes Concepción v Ñublense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Prévision 37.22%2.69cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.78%37.14%37.19%38.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.502.6044.44%40.60%40.08%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ñublense (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.630%
Kelly -0.951%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.12%33.26%33.08%34.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.702.9640.00%36.78%37.04%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.62%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.128%
Avantage +0.038%
Kelly +0.054%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.38%29.60%29.73%31.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.633.083.103.3838.02%32.47%32.26%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Deportes Concepción (Local) : 37.22% ; Ñublense (Visiteur) : 33.15% ; Match nul : 29.62%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.376. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.380, soit une espérance positive de +0.128%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.99%EV -8.43%E -3.43%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.63%EV -2.53%E -0.860%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.34%E -1.69%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.53%EV -1.86%E -0.630%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.00%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -12.81%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.02%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.12%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.57%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 23:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -13.80%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -13.80%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -13.80%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -7.32%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -9.35%E -3.06%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.20%E -2.46%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -15.46%E -6.06%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.65%E -3.16%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -10.67%E -4.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -11.41%E -4.79%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.53%E -5.33%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.39%E -6.26%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -13.14%E -5.01%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -11.13%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -16.25%E -7.22%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.29%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -17.05%E -6.09%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.39%E -6.26%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 32.92%EV -17.12%E -6.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.29%EV -22.09%E -8.40%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |