The School of Odds
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Deportes Concepción v Huachipato

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Deportes Concepción 2–0 Huachipato

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 37.28%2.68fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.78%37.42%37.34%41.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.462.502.5845.05%40.64%40.00%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huachipato (Visit)

Prediction 33.98%2.94fair odd
EV +8.73%
Edge +2.73%
Kelly +3.97%
Growth +0.347%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.06%33.80%33.95%35.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.653.2041.67%37.30%37.74%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.74%3.48fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%28.77%28.71%29.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.173.203.4036.36%31.51%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Concepción (Local): 37.28%; Huachipato (Visit): 33.98%; Draw: 28.74%. For Huachipato (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -17.24%E -7.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV +8.73%E +2.73%K +3.97%G +0.347%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 23:59
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.82%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -3.14%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:00
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.22%EV -3.82%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54%EV -5.54%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.28%E -0.669%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -5.54%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -7.24%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.96%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.96%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.96%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -10.64%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.98%E -4.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.98%E -4.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.98%E -4.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 15:59
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -16.12%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.24%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.34%EV -12.34%E -4.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.40%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -18.45%E -7.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -20.96%E -7.62%K -11.98%G +0.000%21.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-24 16:10