L’École des cotes

Deportes Concepción v Huachipato

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Score final : Deportes Concepción 2–0 Huachipato

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prévision 37.28%2.68cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.78%37.42%37.34%41.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.462.502.5845.05%40.64%40.00%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Huachipato (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.98%2.94cote équitable
EV +8.73%
Avantage +2.73%
Kelly +3.97%
Croissance +0.347%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.06%33.80%33.95%35.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.653.2041.67%37.30%37.74%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.74%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.669%
Kelly -0.948%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%28.77%28.71%29.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.173.203.4036.36%31.51%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -17.24%E -7.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV +8.73%E +2.73%K +3.97%G +0.347%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 23:59
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.76%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67%EV -2.82%E -0.986%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -3.14%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.86%E -1.74%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:00
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.22%EV -3.82%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54%EV -5.54%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -2.28%E -0.669%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -5.54%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.56%E -2.38%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -7.24%E -2.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.63%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.26%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:10
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.96%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 16:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.96%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -9.96%E -3.76%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.59%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -10.64%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.98%E -4.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.98%E -4.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:10
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -10.98%E -4.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-24 15:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 15:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -16.12%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.24%EV -11.66%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.34%EV -12.34%E -4.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.40%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -10.90%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.78%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.29%EV -18.45%E -7.69%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 29.93%EV -20.96%E -7.62%K -11.98%G +0.000%21.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-05-24 16:10