Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción v Coquimbo Unido

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 16:00 UTC

Final: Deportes Concepción 1–1 Coquimbo Unido

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 35.39%2.83fair odd
EV +0.875%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.473%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.67%35.24%35.45%36.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.622.8540.82%38.20%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV -0.749%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%34.64%34.35%40.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.612.632.8944.44%38.30%37.95%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.26%3.30fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%30.12%30.20%32.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.71%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportes Concepción (Local): 35.39%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 34.34%; Draw: 30.26%. For Deportes Concepción (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.875%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV +0.875%E +0.307%K +0.473%G +0.004%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -22.73%E -10.10%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 15:34
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.43%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.23%EV -0.749%E -0.259%K -0.396%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.34%EV -10.12%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 15:49
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.81%EV -1.96%E -0.706%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.68%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -4.37%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 15:49
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 15:49
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 15:49
BetUS🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.50%EV -4.08%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.12%E -0.745%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 15:47
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -5.85%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -5.85%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 15:54
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 15:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 15:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -20.32%E -8.76%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -20.32%E -8.76%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:49
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 15:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.58%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:53
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.58%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:53
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 15:55
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 15:44
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:44
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:55
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -12.43%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:44
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:44
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 15:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -12.84%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -12.84%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -12.84%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:54
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -13.28%E -5.42%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -13.28%E -5.42%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-08-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-08-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.11%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-08-23 15:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-08-23 15:55