The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Deportes Concepción v Coquimbo Unido

2026-08-23 16:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportes Concepción (Local)

Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.72%31.38%31.38%31.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.0636.36%34.33%34.48%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visit)

Prediction 40.80%2.45fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.02%40.80%40.80%40.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3346.51%44.64%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -8.20%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%27.82%27.82%28.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.303.3033.33%30.84%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportes Concepción (Local): 31.38%; Coquimbo Unido (Visit): 40.80%; Draw: 27.82%. For Deportes Concepción (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.06, with an expected value of -3.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.72%EV -3.96%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.35%EV -4.94%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:58
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.20%E -3.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.41%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.20%E -3.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 14:59
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.98%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.65%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:58
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.24%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 13:59
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.69%E -4.98%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -16.55%E -5.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-15 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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