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Deportes Concepción v Coquimbo Unido
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Concepción (Local)
Predicción 35.39%2.83momio equitativo
EV +0.875%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.473%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.67%35.24%35.45%36.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.622.622.8540.82%38.20%38.17%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)
Predicción 34.34%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.749%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.396%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%34.64%34.35%40.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.612.632.8944.44%38.30%37.95%34.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.26%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.507%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%30.12%30.20%32.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.063.053.2534.72%32.71%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportes Concepción (Local): 35.39%; Coquimbo Unido (Visitante): 34.34%; Empate: 30.26%. Para Deportes Concepción (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.875%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV +0.875%E +0.307%K +0.473%G +0.004% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -22.73%E -10.10%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.43%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.23%EV -0.749%E -0.259%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.34%EV -10.12%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.81%EV -1.96%E -0.706%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.68%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -4.37%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.66%E -0.969%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -18.26%E -7.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -1.65%E -0.507%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.50%EV -4.08%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76%EV -2.12%E -0.745%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.74%EV -5.28%E -1.69%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 15:47 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -5.85%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -5.85%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.66%EV -3.84%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -20.32%E -8.76%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -20.32%E -8.76%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -4.67%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.58%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.58%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 15:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.27%E -2.77%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.23%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -6.59%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -12.43%E -4.87%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.71%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -12.84%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -12.84%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -12.84%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.51%E -4.61%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.14%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -13.28%E -5.42%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -5.56%E -2.02%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -13.28%E -5.42%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.11% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.67% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 15:55 |