Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido v Audax Italiano

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 00:00 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 3–0 Audax Italiano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Prediction 58.94%1.70fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.03%58.97%58.84%60.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.581.571.6668.03%63.49%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Audax Italiano (Visit)

Prediction 17.23%5.80fair odd
EV +15.43%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.418%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%17.08%17.51%19.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.225.206.7022.22%19.14%19.23%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -0.619%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.195%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.95%23.65%25.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.793.804.1730.30%26.41%26.32%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coquimbo Unido (Local): 58.94%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 17.23%; Draw: 23.83%. For Audax Italiano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.13%EV +15.43%E +2.30%K +2.71%G +0.418%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 23:55
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.18%EV +1.99%E +0.336%K +0.404%G +0.008%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.59%EV -3.24%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.078%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.10%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -0.078%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.58%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.68%EV -0.940%E -0.163%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.74%EV -3.72%E -0.920%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.940%E -0.163%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV -1.80%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 23:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV -1.80%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.39%EV -2.66%E -0.471%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -8.96%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:55
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.92%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.12%EV -4.56%E -0.823%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.96%EV -5.62%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.25%E -0.954%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.25%E -0.954%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.97%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.97%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.29%E -0.558%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -10.41%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 23:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -10.41%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -10.41%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.23%E -6.00%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 23:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.13%EV -13.36%E -9.09%K -28.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 23:54
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.73%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.28%EV -14.38%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.98%EV -0.619%E -0.148%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -2.75%E -1.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -15.58%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -3.93%E -2.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.58%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -15.39%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -16.59%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -2.75%E -1.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -20.75%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.93%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.64%EV -22.47%E -4.99%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -21.35%E -6.47%K -9.28%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-15 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-05-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-05-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.22%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-05-15 23:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-05-15 23:55