La escuela de los momios

Coquimbo Unido v Audax Italiano

Inicio: 2026-05-16 00:00 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 3–0 Audax Italiano

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Predicción 58.94%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -3.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.03%58.97%58.84%60.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.581.571.6668.03%63.49%63.69%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Audax Italiano (Visitante)

Predicción 17.23%5.80momio equitativo
EV +15.43%
Ventaja +2.30%
Kelly +2.71%
Crecimiento +0.418%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.13%17.08%17.51%19.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.225.206.7022.22%19.14%19.23%14.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV -0.619%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.195%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.74%23.95%23.65%25.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.793.804.1730.30%26.41%26.32%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.29%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.13%EV +15.43%E +2.30%K +2.71%G +0.418%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 23:55
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.18%EV +1.99%E +0.336%K +0.404%G +0.008%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.59%EV -3.24%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -0.078%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.10%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -0.078%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.58%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.68%EV -0.940%E -0.163%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.74%EV -3.72%E -0.920%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.940%E -0.163%K -0.198%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV -1.80%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 23:34
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.11%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.45%EV -1.80%E -0.316%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 23:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.37%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.39%EV -2.66%E -0.471%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -8.96%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.92%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.12%EV -4.56%E -0.823%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.96%EV -5.62%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -5.25%E -0.954%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 23:55
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.25%E -0.954%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.97%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.97%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.86%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.29%E -0.558%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.29%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 23:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -9.55%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 23:50
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -10.41%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 23:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.82%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -10.41%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 23:54
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.64%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -10.41%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.23%E -6.00%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 23:50
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.88%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 23:40
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.63%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-15 23:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.13%EV -13.36%E -9.09%K -28.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -13.86%E -2.77%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -11.82%E -3.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 23:54
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.73%EV -2.16%E -1.30%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.28%EV -14.38%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.98%EV -0.619%E -0.148%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:55
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -2.75%E -1.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -15.58%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.81%EV -3.93%E -2.41%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -15.58%E -3.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -15.39%E -4.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 23:35
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -16.59%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -8.64%E -5.58%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -17.31%E -3.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.44%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.03%EV -2.75%E -1.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -20.75%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.20%E -3.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.93%EV -11.59%E -7.73%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.64%EV -22.47%E -4.99%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -21.35%E -6.47%K -9.28%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-15 23:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-05-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-05-15 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.22%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.84%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-05-15 23:55
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.36%2.6%2026-05-15 23:55