Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo v Universidad de Chile

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 39.76%2.51fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.42%39.84%39.78%43.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.302.4548.78%43.86%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 31.35%3.19fair odd
EV +0.952%
Edge +0.296%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.27%31.29%31.31%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.932.953.2238.17%34.09%33.90%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.50%28.87%28.91%29.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.103.3535.71%31.99%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 39.76%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 31.35%; Draw: 28.89%. For Universidad de Chile (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.952%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.78%EV +0.952%E +0.296%K +0.429%G +0.004%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.41%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:54
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -3.23%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -11.33%E -5.08%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.50%E -7.86%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 20:54
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -11.73%E -5.28%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:49
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -11.73%E -5.28%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 20:20
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.33%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.91%EV -5.32%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -3.23%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:45
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 20:53
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 20:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 18:14
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 20:54
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.13%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.11%EV -6.41%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.62%EV -6.96%E -2.97%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -8.14%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:54
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 20:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 20:24
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:53
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:55
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:54
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:39
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 20:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:55
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 20:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 20:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.64%EV -14.91%E -6.97%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.59%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 20:54
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -5.37%E -2.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 20:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -14.51%E -6.75%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 20:34
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -15.35%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -16.50%E -7.86%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -15.35%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -19.12%E -6.83%K -10.62%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-01 20:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.35%EV -18.49%E -9.02%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.63%EV -15.35%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.02%EV -17.67%E -6.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-01 20:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -5.37%E -2.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -17.55%E -6.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -5.37%E -2.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -17.55%E -6.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -17.86%E -6.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 20:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -17.86%E -6.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 20:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-03-01 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-03-01 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-03-01 20:54
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%2.8%2026-03-01 20:55