La escuela de los momios

Colo Colo v Universidad de Chile

Inicio: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Predicción 39.76%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.42%39.84%39.78%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.282.302.4548.78%43.86%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad de Chile (Visitante)

Predicción 31.35%3.19momio equitativo
EV +0.952%
Ventaja +0.296%
Kelly +0.429%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.27%31.29%31.31%33.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.932.953.2238.17%34.09%33.90%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.50%28.87%28.91%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.103.3535.71%31.99%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.78%EV +0.952%E +0.296%K +0.429%G +0.004%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.41%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 20:54
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:20
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 20:19
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -3.23%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:45
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -11.33%E -5.08%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 20:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.50%E -7.86%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 20:54
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -11.73%E -5.28%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:49
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -11.73%E -5.28%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:49
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 20:20
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.33%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.91%EV -5.32%E -1.76%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -3.23%E -0.964%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 20:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 20:53
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 20:49
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 18:15
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 18:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 20:54
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 39.13%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.11%EV -6.41%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:44
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.62%EV -6.96%E -2.97%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -6.89%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -8.14%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:54
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -4.57%E -1.90%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 20:20
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 20:55
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 20:24
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:53
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:55
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 20:54
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.56%E -2.79%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 20:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 20:49
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 20:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 20:49
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:54
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:55
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 20:49
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.54%E -4.68%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 20:19
Unibet (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 40.64%EV -14.91%E -6.97%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.59%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 20:54
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -5.37%E -2.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 20:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -14.51%E -6.75%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 20:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 20:19
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -8.55%E -3.72%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -15.35%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.34%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -16.50%E -7.86%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -15.35%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -19.12%E -6.83%K -10.62%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-01 20:49
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.35%EV -18.49%E -9.02%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.63%EV -15.35%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.02%EV -17.67%E -6.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-01 20:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -5.37%E -2.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -17.55%E -6.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -5.37%E -2.26%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -17.55%E -6.67%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -17.86%E -6.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 20:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -5.76%E -2.43%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -17.86%E -6.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 20:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-03-01 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-03-01 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-03-01 20:54
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%2.8%2026-03-01 20:55