Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.74
assuming max odds 5.75
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 55.61%; Palestino (Visit): 18.83%; Draw: 25.56%. For Palestino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.29%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.63%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +8.29%E +1.44%K +1.75%G +0.145% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -0.325%E -0.083%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.58%E +0.651%K +0.796%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.58%E +0.651%K +0.796%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.80%EV +1.51%E +0.280%K +0.344%G +0.005% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.06%EV -0.562%E -0.106%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.14%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 21:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.54%EV -12.69%E -8.08%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.97%EV -4.89%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.96%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.87%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.50%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.50%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.50%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.54%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.54%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.54%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -11.49%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -11.49%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -11.49%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -13.81%E -8.91%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.70%EV -12.43%E -2.67%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.03%E -6.89%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.14%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -18.45%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.50%EV -12.69%E -8.08%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.40%EV -18.45%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.10%EV -20.77%E -6.70%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |