Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colo Colo v Palestino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 22:30 UTC

Score final : Colo Colo 0–1 Palestino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prévision 55.61%1.80cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%55.63%55.70%58.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.661.661.7464.52%60.40%60.24%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.83%5.31cote équitable
EV +8.29%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.75%
Croissance +0.145%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.72%18.80%18.76%20.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.834.805.7523.09%20.72%20.83%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV -0.325%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.57%25.54%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.603.9032.26%27.99%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Colo Colo (Local) : 55.61% ; Palestino (Visiteur) : 18.83% ; Match nul : 25.56%. Pour Palestino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.31. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +8.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.63%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.72%EV +8.29%E +1.44%K +1.75%G +0.145%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -0.325%E -0.083%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.58%E +0.651%K +0.796%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.58%E +0.651%K +0.796%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:20
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.12%EV -4.91%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.80%EV +1.51%E +0.280%K +0.344%G +0.005%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 22:20
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.06%EV -0.562%E -0.106%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.14%E -0.828%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.13%E -0.215%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 22:25
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.54%EV -12.69%E -8.08%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -2.07%E -0.398%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.06%EV -3.24%E -1.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.97%EV -4.89%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.96%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -5.84%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 20:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.87%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.20%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 22:05
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 22:25
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -7.72%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 19:35
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.50%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.50%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.50%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -9.60%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:20
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.54%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.54%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 22:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.91%E -6.12%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.54%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 22:25
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -11.49%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -11.49%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.80%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -11.49%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -13.81%E -8.91%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.70%EV -12.43%E -2.67%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 19:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.78%EV -6.58%E -3.91%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -7.69%E -4.63%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.37%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 19:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.75%EV -8.80%E -5.37%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 19:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 19:35
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.24%E -5.00%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.25%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.03%E -6.89%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.14%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -18.45%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.50%EV -12.69%E -8.08%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.40%EV -18.45%E -4.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.10%EV -20.77%E -6.70%K -9.89%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-19 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.45%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.59%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-19 22:25
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-04-19 22:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-04-19 22:20