Language:English
Colo Colo v Ñublense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Colo Colo (Local)
Prediction 54.69%1.83fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.82%54.75%57.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.51%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ñublense (Visit)
Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV +7.56%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.125%
assuming max odds 5.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%19.26%19.46%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.734.705.5523.26%21.15%21.28%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%25.92%25.79%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.7533.33%28.51%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 54.69%; Ñublense (Visit): 19.38%; Draw: 25.93%. For Ñublense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.12%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.56%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.125% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -2.75%E -0.734%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.53%EV +6.20%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.086% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.54%EV -14.14%E -9.01%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV +0.772%E +0.149%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.38%EV -0.584%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.72%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.80%EV -0.972%E -0.190%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.10%E -0.621%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 20:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.10%E -0.621%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.75%E -0.734%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.26%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -8.20%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.99%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.76%E -5.92%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.43%EV -14.14%E -9.01%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -16.09%E -3.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -14.14%E -9.01%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.23%EV -16.09%E -3.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -22.20%E -7.40%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-17 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -16.67%E -3.88%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |