L’École des cotes

Colo Colo v Ñublense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Score final : Colo Colo 6–2 Ñublense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Prévision 54.69%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -5.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.02%54.82%54.75%57.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.51%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ñublense (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.38%5.16cote équitable
EV +7.56%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.125%

avec la cote maximale 5.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%19.26%19.46%20.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.734.705.5523.26%21.15%21.28%18.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.94%25.92%25.79%27.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7533.33%28.51%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.12%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +7.56%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.125%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -2.75%E -0.734%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 21:25
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.53%EV +6.20%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.086%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.54%EV -14.14%E -9.01%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV +0.772%E +0.149%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 21:10
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.83%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.38%EV -0.584%E -0.114%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.72%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 00:15
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.80%EV -0.972%E -0.190%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:25
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.10%E -0.621%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 20:44
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.10%E -0.621%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 21:24
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:19
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.04%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.98%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 21:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.75%E -0.734%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 21:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.26%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -8.20%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:20
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 20:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -7.58%E -4.48%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.64%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.10%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 21:24
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 20:40
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 21:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.42%E -4.37%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 21:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -7.95%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 20:40
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 21:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 21:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 21:20
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 20:55
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 20:55
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 20:55
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -7.94%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.99%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 20:55
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.76%E -5.92%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 20:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 20:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.86%E -2.36%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 20:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.83%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.35%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.43%EV -14.14%E -9.01%K -24.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -12.79%E -2.84%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -10.53%E -3.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 21:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 20:55
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -14.73%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 20:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -16.09%E -3.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -11.83%E -3.48%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -14.14%E -9.01%K -24.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.23%EV -16.09%E -3.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -22.20%E -7.40%K -11.10%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-17 21:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -11.41%E -7.04%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -16.67%E -3.88%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.24%E -2.64%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-17 21:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-17 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-17 21:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-05-17 21:25