The School of Odds

Colo Colo v Deportes Limache

2026-07-25 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 65.49%1.53fair odd
EV -5.69%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -12.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%65.62%65.86%67.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.401.4476%73%71%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 13.46%7.43fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.04%13.52%13.43%15.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.506.426.507.1418%16%15%14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.05%4.75fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +0.803%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.65%20.86%20.72%22.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.404.9025%23%23%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.93%E -8.04%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV +3.13%E +0.639%K +0.803%G +0.025%9.3%2026-07-13 06:34
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.93%E -8.04%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV +3.13%E +0.639%K +0.803%G +0.025%9.3%2026-07-13 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.23%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-13 06:35
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.23%E -3.21%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -0.025%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-13 06:34
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.31%E -5.94%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.77%E -0.824%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.29%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 09:24
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.04%EV -7.66%E -5.43%K -18.68%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.544%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -6.34%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 12:19
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.31%E -5.94%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -4.42%E -0.623%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.34%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.12%EV -12.24%E -9.14%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.05%EV -21.92%E -3.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -7.39%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-13 09:19
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 64.56%EV -12.90%E -9.70%K -39.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.61%EV -25.96%E -4.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.83%EV -8.86%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-13 06:35
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.69%E -3.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -7.12%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -10.55%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 13:09
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.69%E -3.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -7.12%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -10.55%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.20%EV -14.21%E -10.84%K -45.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -25.96%E -4.72%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.51%EV -13.71%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-13 09:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.31%E -5.94%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.81%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 09:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.31%E -5.94%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.81%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 09:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.31%E -5.94%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.50%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.81%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 08:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 08:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 08:14