Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo v Deportes Limache

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 00:34 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 3–1 Deportes Limache

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 60.92%1.64fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.88%60.98%60.95%63.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.511.6071.43%66.51%66.23%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportes Limache (Visit)

Prediction 17.63%5.67fair odd
EV +6.68%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.25%17.55%17.67%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.295.256.0522.22%18.92%19.05%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.49%21.47%21.37%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.264.304.5025.64%23.49%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 60.92%; Deportes Limache (Visit): 17.63%; Draw: 21.44%. For Deportes Limache (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.67. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.78%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.88%EV +6.68%E +1.10%K +1.32%G +0.088%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:55
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -11.66%E -8.04%K -25.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 02:59
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 03:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 03:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 03:09
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -12.88%E -9.01%K -29.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 06:25
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.48%EV -12.88%E -9.01%K -29.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV +2.27%E +0.391%K +0.473%G +0.011%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 03:00
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -14.10%E -10.00%K -34.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV +2.27%E +0.391%K +0.473%G +0.011%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 03:05
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.47%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.74%EV +1.04%E +0.181%K +0.219%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 00:25
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV +1.04%E +0.181%K +0.219%G +0.002%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.87%EV -6.08%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 00:25
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.52%E -1.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.81%EV +0.683%E +0.120%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -11.23%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 00:25
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.00%E -5.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -1.26%E -0.224%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 00:14
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.02%E -0.549%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 00:15
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.76%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.45%EV -4.25%E -0.783%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 00:15
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 00:15
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 00:15
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -6.55%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 18:24
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:09
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -8.31%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 00:23
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.66%E -8.04%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.31%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 00:20
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 00:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 00:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 00:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 00:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 00:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-24 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 00:15
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -14.71%E -10.50%K -36.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-24 23:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -12.72%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -12.72%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:09
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -13.60%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.79%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -16.24%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.13%E -3.64%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.18%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -20.65%E -4.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-07-25 00:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-07-25 00:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%2.2%2026-07-25 00:25