La escuela de los momios

Colo Colo v Deportes Limache

Inicio: 2026-07-25 00:34 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 3–1 Deportes Limache

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Predicción 60.92%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -4.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.88%60.98%60.95%63.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.501.511.6071.43%66.51%66.23%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Deportes Limache (Visitante)

Predicción 17.63%5.67momio equitativo
EV +6.68%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.088%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.25%17.55%17.67%19.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.295.256.0522.22%18.92%19.05%16.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -0.780%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.49%21.47%21.37%23.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.264.304.5025.64%23.49%23.26%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.78%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.88%EV +6.68%E +1.10%K +1.32%G +0.088%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 23:55
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -11.66%E -8.04%K -25.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 02:59
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 03:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 03:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 03:09
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -12.88%E -9.01%K -29.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +5.80%E +0.966%K +1.16%G +0.067%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 06:25
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.48%EV -12.88%E -9.01%K -29.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV +2.27%E +0.391%K +0.473%G +0.011%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 03:00
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -14.10%E -10.00%K -34.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV +2.27%E +0.391%K +0.473%G +0.011%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 03:05
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.47%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.74%EV +1.04%E +0.181%K +0.219%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 00:25
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.41%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV +1.04%E +0.181%K +0.219%G +0.002%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.87%EV -6.08%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 00:25
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.52%E -1.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.81%EV +0.683%E +0.120%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.19%EV -11.23%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 00:25
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.00%E -5.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -1.26%E -0.224%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 00:14
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.02%E -0.549%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 00:15
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.76%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.45%EV -4.25%E -0.783%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 00:15
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 00:15
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 60.54%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 00:15
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -4.78%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -6.55%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 18:24
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:09
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.15%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -7.43%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 00:10
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -8.31%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 00:23
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -11.66%E -8.04%K -25.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -8.31%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.72%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 00:15
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 00:20
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 00:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 00:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 00:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -6.79%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 00:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 00:15
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-24 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.00%EV -12.27%E -8.52%K -27.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 00:15
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -14.71%E -10.50%K -36.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -11.84%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-24 23:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -12.72%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.60%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.66%EV -12.72%E -2.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 00:09
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -13.60%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -15.36%E -3.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.79%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -16.24%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -17.13%E -3.64%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.18%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -20.65%E -4.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 00:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-07-25 00:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-07-25 00:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-07-25 00:20
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%2.2%2026-07-25 00:25