Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo v Cobresal

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 21:30 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 3–0 Cobresal

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colo Colo (Local)

Prediction 75.06%1.33fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -10.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.30%75.02%75.08%77.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.231.2985.47%81.35%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cobresal (Visit)

Prediction 9.26%10.80fair odd
EV +15.79%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.217%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%9.28%9.27%11.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.759.5012.5012.50%10.26%10.53%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.67%6.38fair odd
EV +1.88%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.342%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.33%15.70%15.64%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.745.756.5022.22%17.43%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 75.06%; Cobresal (Visit): 9.26%; Draw: 15.67%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.80. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +15.79%E +1.26%K +1.37%G +0.217%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.36%E -2.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +15.79%E +1.26%K +1.37%G +0.217%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.36%E -2.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.37%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +6.53%E +0.567%K +0.621%G +0.041%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 21:20
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.17%E -7.58%K -43.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +1.89%E +0.172%K +0.189%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV +1.89%E +0.172%K +0.189%G +0.004%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.71%E -3.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.22%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +1.89%E +0.172%K +0.189%G +0.004%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -2.82%E -0.455%K -0.543%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 21:20
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.90%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.02%EV -1.81%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.08%EV -0.627%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 21:18
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.09%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.51I 9.51%NM 9.05%EV -2.65%E -0.252%K -0.278%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV +0.313%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.74%E -0.261%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -2.74%E -0.261%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -4.39%E -0.719%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 21:20
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -9.92%E -8.27%K -49.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -2.74%E -0.261%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 21:20
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.27%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.35%EV -5.05%E -0.493%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.38%EV -8.31%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:20
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +1.88%E +0.289%K +0.342%G +0.006%7.4%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 21:20
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:19
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 21:20
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.43%E -9.68%K -63.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-13 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.51%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.27%EV -9.69%E -0.993%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -17.71%E -3.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.62%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.56%EV -11.07%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -9.09%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:51
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 07:30
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 21:10
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 72.30%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.90%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -29.47%E -6.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-13 21:20
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -3.92%E -3.06%K -14.00%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.03%EV -12.46%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.91%EV -6.58%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.23%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.84%EV -12.93%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.92%EV -2.82%E -0.455%K -0.543%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 21:20
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -14.32%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.11%EV -14.78%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.11%EV -14.78%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.30%EV -9.17%E -7.58%K -43.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -2.04%E -0.326%K -0.388%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 20:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.36%E -2.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-13 20:50
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.92%E -8.27%K -49.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.39%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.63%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 9.78%EV -17.56%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -25.90%E -3.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-13 07:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.02%EV -11.43%E -9.68%K -63.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -25.90%E -3.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.06%EV -9.09%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-13 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-06-13 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-06-13 21:20
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-06-13 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.08%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.7%2026-06-13 21:20
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.76%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.59%2.7%2026-06-13 21:10
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31%2.8%2026-06-13 21:20