La escuela de los momios

Colo Colo v Cobresal

Inicio: 2026-06-13 21:30 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 3–0 Cobresal

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colo Colo (Local)

Predicción 75.06%1.33momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -10.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.30%75.02%75.08%77.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.231.231.2985.47%81.35%81.30%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cobresal (Visitante)

Predicción 9.26%10.80momio equitativo
EV +15.79%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.217%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.47%9.28%9.27%11.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.759.5012.5012.50%10.26%10.53%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.67%6.38momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.289%
Kelly +0.342%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.33%15.70%15.64%18.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.745.756.5022.22%17.43%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +15.79%E +1.26%K +1.37%G +0.217%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.36%E -2.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 21:20
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV +15.79%E +1.26%K +1.37%G +0.217%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.36%E -2.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 21:20
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.37%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +6.53%E +0.567%K +0.621%G +0.041%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 21:20
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -9.17%E -7.58%K -43.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +1.89%E +0.172%K +0.189%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 21:20
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.44%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV +1.89%E +0.172%K +0.189%G +0.004%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.71%E -3.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.22%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV +1.89%E +0.172%K +0.189%G +0.004%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -2.82%E -0.455%K -0.543%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 21:20
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.90%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.02%EV -1.81%E -0.171%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.08%EV -0.627%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 21:18
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.09%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.51I 9.51%NM 9.05%EV -2.65%E -0.252%K -0.278%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV +0.313%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 21:10
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -2.74%E -0.261%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 21:20
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -2.74%E -0.261%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -4.39%E -0.719%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 21:20
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -9.92%E -8.27%K -49.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -2.74%E -0.261%K -0.288%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 21:20
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.27%EV -3.17%E -2.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.35%EV -5.05%E -0.493%K -0.546%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.38%EV -8.31%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 14:30
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +1.88%E +0.289%K +0.342%G +0.006%7.4%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 21:19
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 21:20
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 21:19
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 21:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 21:20
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.43%E -9.68%K -63.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -7.37%E -0.737%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-13 21:19
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.51%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.27%EV -9.69%E -0.993%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -17.71%E -3.37%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.62%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.56%EV -11.07%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -9.09%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:51
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 73.66%EV -5.42%E -4.30%K -20.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.23%E -2.18%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 20:50
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 07:30
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 21:10
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-13 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 72.30%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.90%EV -12.00%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -29.47%E -6.55%K -8.42%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-13 21:20
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -3.92%E -3.06%K -14.00%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.03%EV -12.46%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.91%EV -6.58%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 15:30
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.23%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.84%EV -12.93%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.92%EV -2.82%E -0.455%K -0.543%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 21:20
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 74.09%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -14.32%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.87%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.11%EV -14.78%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 21:20
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.11%EV -14.78%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.96%E -0.993%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 21:20
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.17%E -4.94%K -24.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-13 20:50
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.30%EV -9.17%E -7.58%K -43.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -2.04%E -0.326%K -0.388%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -6.92%E -5.58%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 20:51
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -7.67%E -6.24%K -33.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.36%E -2.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-13 20:50
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.92%E -8.27%K -49.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.63%E -1.85%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-13 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.39%EV -12.18%E -10.41%K -71.63%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 9.78%EV -17.56%E -1.97%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -21.26%E -2.50%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 21:20
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -8.42%E -6.90%K -38.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -25.90%E -3.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.79%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-13 07:01
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.02%EV -11.43%E -9.68%K -63.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -25.90%E -3.24%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.06%EV -9.09%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-13 21:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-06-13 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-06-13 21:20
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%1.3%2026-06-13 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.08%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.7%2026-06-13 21:20
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.76%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.59%2.7%2026-06-13 21:10
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31%2.8%2026-06-13 21:20