Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.44
assuming max odds 8.00
assuming max odds 5.37
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colo Colo (Local): 67.69%; Audax Italiano (Visit): 13.25%; Draw: 19.06%. For Audax Italiano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.55. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.97%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.97%E +0.746%K +0.853%G +0.051% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.76%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +3.32%E +0.426%K +0.489%G +0.016% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.76%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +3.32%E +0.426%K +0.489%G +0.016% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.74%EV -5.90%E -4.25%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.56%EV +0.806%E +0.106%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.70%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.80%EV -2.52%E -1.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.74%EV +0.011%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.46%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.651%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.29%E -6.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -0.651%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -39.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -0.651%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.86%EV -1.45%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.82%EV +2.35%E +0.437%K +0.537%G +0.013% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.83%EV -2.52%E -1.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 13.08%EV -2.51%E -0.340%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV -8.71%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -3.96%E -0.547%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.19%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.23%E -3.73%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.23%E -3.73%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.52%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.00%E -4.47%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -39.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.20%E -2.24%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.14%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.84%EV -12.57%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.52%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -9.29%E -6.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.80%E -0.549%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -39.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.68%EV -10.64%E -8.06%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.97%EV -16.55%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.35%EV -13.28%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-30 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -17.09%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.38%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.19% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 21:20 |