Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Colo Colo v Audax Italiano

Inicio: 2026-08-30 21:33 UTC

Final: Colo Colo 5–1 Audax Italiano

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Colo Colo (Local)

Predicción 67.69%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -5.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.02%67.58%67.72%69.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.361.4476.92%73.21%73.53%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Audax Italiano (Visitante)

Predicción 13.25%7.55momio equitativo
EV +5.97%
Ventaja +0.746%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.051%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.61%13.20%13.25%14.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.256.907.008.0016.00%14.48%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 19.06%5.25momio equitativo
EV +2.35%
Ventaja +0.437%
Kelly +0.537%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.82%19.22%19.02%21.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.254.714.725.3723.53%21.21%21.16%18.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Colo Colo (Local): 67.69%; Audax Italiano (Visitante): 13.25%; Empate: 19.06%. Para Audax Italiano (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.55. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.97%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +5.97%E +0.746%K +0.853%G +0.051%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 21:24
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.76%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +3.32%E +0.426%K +0.489%G +0.016%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 21:20
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.76%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV +3.32%E +0.426%K +0.489%G +0.016%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 21:20
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.74%EV -5.90%E -4.25%K -15.14%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.56%EV +0.806%E +0.106%K +0.122%G +0.001%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.70%EV -2.61%E -0.511%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.80%EV -2.52%E -1.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.74%EV +0.011%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.46%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:55
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.651%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:53
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.29%E -6.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -0.651%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 21:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -39.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -0.651%E -0.087%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 21:15
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.86%EV -1.45%E -0.194%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.82%EV +2.35%E +0.437%K +0.537%G +0.013%4.5%2026-08-30 21:24
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.83%EV -2.52%E -1.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 13.08%EV -2.51%E -0.340%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV -8.71%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 21:24
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.73%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.61%EV -3.96%E -0.547%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.19%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.88%EV -4.63%E -0.642%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.23%E -3.73%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.23%E -3.73%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.52%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:20
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 21:24
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -7.26%E -5.30%K -19.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.71%E -0.941%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 21:24
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -19.00%E -4.47%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 21:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -39.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -3.20%E -2.24%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 08:49
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:15
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -3.87%E -2.73%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -10.59%E -1.57%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.14%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.84%EV -12.57%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.52%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 21:24
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -9.29%E -6.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -2.80%E -0.549%K -0.683%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 21:24
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 21:24
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 21:20
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.24%E -3.16%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 21:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.47%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 21:20
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -39.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -13.90%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.33%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 66.68%EV -10.64%E -8.06%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.97%EV -16.55%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.35%EV -13.28%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 21:20
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.52%EV -8.61%E -6.38%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -10.42%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 21:24
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -6.58%E -4.77%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -17.09%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.38%EV -9.97%E -7.49%K -30.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -6.61%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -7.94%E -5.83%K -22.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -17.21%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -18.05%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-08-30 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-08-30 21:25
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.38%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-08-30 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.19%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.1%2026-08-30 21:25
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-08-30 21:15
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%2.2%2026-08-30 21:20