The School of Odds
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Cobresal v Everton de Viña del Mar

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 17:59 UTC

Final: Cobresal 2–2 Everton de Viña del Mar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cobresal (Local)

Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%41.14%41.34%43.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.242.252.3851.81%44.73%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit)

Prediction 32.63%3.06fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.49%32.81%32.59%35.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.15%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -0.915%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%26.05%26.07%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7430.30%28.67%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cobresal (Local): 41.30%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visit): 32.63%; Draw: 26.07%. For Cobresal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -1.71%E -0.717%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -1.71%E -0.717%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -1.71%E -0.717%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:35
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -1.71%E -0.717%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -1.71%E -0.717%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:35
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.75%EV -4.60%E -1.99%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.47%EV -3.08%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.78%EV -2.51%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.87%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -2.10%E -0.700%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 17:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 17:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -15.15%E -5.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 17:35
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.49%EV -5.84%E -2.56%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.73%EV -5.69%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.78%EV -4.33%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -5.84%E -2.56%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.03%EV -14.18%E -5.39%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.57%EV -6.66%E -2.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 17:45
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 17:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 17:45
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.92%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.77%EV -8.30%E -2.95%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.89%E -4.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.88%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -16.79%E -6.58%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -6.16%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -14.18%E -5.39%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -14.18%E -5.39%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.50%E -5.53%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.50%E -5.53%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -15.15%E -5.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -7.08%E -3.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -15.15%E -5.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 17:35
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.31%E -3.75%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -4.71%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -8.31%E -3.75%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.36%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.55%E -0.960%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:48
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 17:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 17:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -9.14%E -4.15%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -14.50%E -5.53%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 17:50
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.99%EV -10.38%E -4.78%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -7.00%E -2.45%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.26%E -3.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.63%E -3.08%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -18.42%E -7.37%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-01 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -15.34%E -7.48%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.52%E -5.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%EV -10.07%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 43.23%EV -20.29%E -10.51%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -13.52%E -5.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.28%EV -13.98%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%19.9%2026-11-01 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-11-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-11-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-11-01 17:50
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-11-01 17:55
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-11-01 17:45
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.5%2026-11-01 17:55

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