Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cobresal v Everton de Viña del Mar

2026-11-01 17:15 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Resultado del partido

15 corredores (4 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cobresal (Local)

Predicción 34.84%2.87momio equitativo
EV +0.345%
Ventaja +0.120%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.31%35.07%34.84%38.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.712.752.8840.82%36.90%36.36%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante)

Predicción 37.84%2.64momio equitativo
EV +5.95%
Ventaja +2.13%
Kelly +3.31%
Crecimiento +0.197%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.97%37.59%37.84%40.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.342.282.8045.87%42.80%43.86%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.32%3.66momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.66%27.34%27.32%27.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.363.5031.25%29.60%29.76%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cobresal (Local): 34.84%; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante): 37.84%; Empate: 27.32%. Para Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.64. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.95%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (15 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV +5.95%E +2.13%K +3.31%G +0.197%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 17:49
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.39%EV -8.21%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.39%EV -8.21%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-25 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -14.64%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 17:40
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV +0.345%E +0.120%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV +0.345%E +0.120%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV +0.345%E +0.120%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV +0.345%E +0.120%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV +0.345%E +0.120%K +0.183%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -13.72%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -16.75%E -7.61%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76%EV -17.51%E -8.03%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-25 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.76%EV -17.51%E -8.03%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-25 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Arbitraje (35 combinaciones) +1.00%Unibet 2.88 (35.1%) / Coolbet 2.80 (36.1%) / Unibet 3.50 (28.9%)Ver las 35 combinaciones
Cobresal (Local)Everton de Viña del Mar (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Unibet🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Grosvenor🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)TABtouch🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Grosvenor🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)TABtouch🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Grosvenor🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)TABtouch🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Grosvenor🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)TABtouch🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Grosvenor🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)TABtouch🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (35.1%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (36.1%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.00%
Unibet🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
Unibet🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
Grosvenor🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
TABtouch🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Coolbet🎯 2.80 (35.8%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.152%