Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cobresal v Coquimbo Unido

Início: 2026-09-12 18:01 UTC

Final: Cobresal 3–2 Coquimbo Unido

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cobresal (Local)

Previsão 30.45%3.28odd justa
EV +9.60%
Vantagem +2.67%
Kelly +3.69%
Crescimento +0.355%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.93%30.36%30.46%31.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.033.003.6035.71%32.98%33.33%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Previsão 42.07%2.38odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -3.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.97%42.21%42.07%46.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.182.162.2849.50%45.97%46.30%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.48%3.64odd justa
EV -0.789%
Vantagem -0.219%
Kelly -0.302%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.40%27.43%27.46%28.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.323.333.6132.26%30.09%29.99%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cobresal (Local): 30.45%; Coquimbo Unido (Visitante): 42.07%; Empate: 27.48%. Para Cobresal (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.28. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +9.60%E +2.67%K +3.69%G +0.355%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV +0.470%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.70%E -4.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -1.06%E -0.295%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.45%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.26%E -0.927%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:31
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:58
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:45
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:20
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.49%E -6.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:16
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%EV -4.50%E -1.98%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -0.789%E -0.219%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -6.84%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.76%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.59%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:35
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:35
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -8.28%E -3.80%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:35
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 17:31
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.80%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.75%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 17:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:31
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%2.1%2026-09-12 17:56