Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cobresal v Coquimbo Unido

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 18:01 UTC

Score final : Cobresal 3–2 Coquimbo Unido

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cobresal (Local)

Prévision 30.45%3.28cote équitable
EV +9.60%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +3.69%
Croissance +0.355%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%30.36%30.46%31.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.003.6035.71%32.98%33.33%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.07%2.38cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.97%42.21%42.07%46.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.182.162.2849.50%45.97%46.30%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -0.789%
Avantage -0.219%
Kelly -0.302%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.43%27.46%28.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.333.6132.26%30.09%29.99%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cobresal (Local) : 30.45% ; Coquimbo Unido (Visiteur) : 42.07% ; Match nul : 27.48%. Pour Cobresal (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.28. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +9.60%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +9.60%E +2.67%K +3.69%G +0.355%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV +0.470%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.70%E -4.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -1.06%E -0.295%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.45%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.26%E -0.927%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:31
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:58
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:45
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:20
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.49%E -6.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:16
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%EV -4.50%E -1.98%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -0.789%E -0.219%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -6.84%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.76%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.59%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:35
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:35
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -8.28%E -3.80%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:35
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 17:31
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.80%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.75%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 17:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:31
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%2.1%2026-09-12 17:56