Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cobresal v Coquimbo Unido

Inicio: 2026-09-12 18:01 UTC

Final: Cobresal 3–2 Coquimbo Unido

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cobresal (Local)

Predicción 30.45%3.28momio equitativo
EV +9.60%
Ventaja +2.67%
Kelly +3.69%
Crecimiento +0.355%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%30.36%30.46%31.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.003.6035.71%32.98%33.33%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Predicción 42.07%2.38momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.97%42.21%42.07%46.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.182.162.2849.50%45.97%46.30%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -0.789%
Ventaja -0.219%
Kelly -0.302%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.43%27.46%28.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.333.6132.26%30.09%29.99%27.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cobresal (Local): 30.45%; Coquimbo Unido (Visitante): 42.07%; Empate: 27.48%. Para Cobresal (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.28. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.60%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +9.60%E +2.67%K +3.69%G +0.355%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV +0.470%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.70%E -4.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -1.06%E -0.295%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 17:45
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.05%E -0.324%K -0.468%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -9.12%E -4.22%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.45%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.26%E -0.927%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 17:40
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:31
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:58
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:45
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:20
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.49%E -6.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:16
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV -5.92%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%EV -4.50%E -1.98%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -0.789%E -0.219%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -6.84%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.76%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.86%E -3.59%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:35
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:35
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -4.08%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -8.28%E -3.80%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:35
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 17:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 17:31
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:16
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.80%E -4.78%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.32%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.75%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 17:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-09-12 17:31
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.99%2.1%2026-09-12 17:56