Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano v Universidad de Chile

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 21:31 UTC

Final: Audax Italiano 1–2 Universidad de Chile

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.344%
Kelly +0.466%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.56%26.65%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.403.8131.25%29.08%29.41%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 47.23%2.12fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.76%47.16%47.24%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0854.64%51.03%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.954%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.28%26.11%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.403.7230.77%29.00%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 26.59%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 47.23%; Draw: 26.18%. For Audax Italiano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV +1.31%E +0.344%K +0.466%G +0.006%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.99%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.81%EV -2.59%E -0.697%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 21:25
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV +1.04%E +0.275%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.12%E -0.843%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 21:20
Pinnacle3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -1.35%E -0.364%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.12%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -2.86%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 21:15
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 21:20
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 21:20
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 21:20
betano_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 21:14
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 21:24
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.58%E -7.42%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 21:15
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -8.38%E -4.32%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.83%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 21:25
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 21:20
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 21:15
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 21:15
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -8.38%E -4.32%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 21:15
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:25
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:25
GTbets3.48I 28.74%NM 26.55%EV -7.46%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.55%EV -8.88%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 21:25
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 21:26
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.26%E -2.39%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -10.27%E -5.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:15
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.03%EV -2.72%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:15
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 21:10
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 21:26
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 21:05
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.33%E -4.86%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 21:25
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.27%E -5.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 21:15
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:25
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:25
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:15
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:15
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.77%E -0.852%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 21:20
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.77%E -0.852%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 21:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 21:15
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.05%EV -8.38%E -4.32%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 21:25
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 21:15
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.12%EV -11.22%E -5.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-26 21:25
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 21:15
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:15
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 21:20
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.58%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 21:15
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.28%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 21:20
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -11.22%E -5.97%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 21:25
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.91%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -11.69%E -6.25%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-26 21:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-07-26 21:25
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94%4.0%2026-07-26 21:20