The School of Odds

Audax Italiano v Universidad de Chile

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -5.87%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%27.43%27.52%28.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.273.303.4334%31%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 44.65%2.24fair odd
EV -6.23%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.62%44.32%44.57%45.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.042.052.1052%49%49%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -6.52%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.70%28.25%27.91%29.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.253.3533%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.43I 29.15%NM 27.17%EV -5.87%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -6.67%E -3.19%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 09:20
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -6.15%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.79%EV -7.57%E -3.66%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 09:15
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 06:35
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -7.12%E -3.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 12:15
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -7.12%E -3.42%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 12:13
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 06:34
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.69%E -5.35%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.31%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 06:35
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.69%E -5.35%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.31%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 06:34
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-13 06:34
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-13 06:34
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-13 06:34
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.93%E -4.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -12.92%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-13 06:35
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.30%E -5.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -10.69%E -5.35%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-13 06:34
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.04%E -6.46%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -13.37%E -6.89%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -16.29%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-13 06:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 09:45