La escuela de los momios

Audax Italiano v Universidad de Chile

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Audax Italiano (Local)

Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV +0.270%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%30.74%30.83%31.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.993.2536.36%33.74%33.44%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad de Chile (Visitante)

Predicción 39.92%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.67%40.03%39.92%42.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.302.4346.51%43.66%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.23%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%29.24%29.24%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.153.2934.48%31.96%31.75%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV +0.270%E +0.083%K +0.120%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 13:50
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -4.36%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.86%EV -7.78%E -3.37%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.69%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -4.36%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -14.17%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 07:53
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -4.67%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.46%EV -2.99%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 21:30
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 01:19
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 01:19
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.93%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.39%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 01:19
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -6.21%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.48%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.81%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 17:15
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -6.83%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -6.58%E -2.81%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.81%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 17:10
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 16:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 21:30
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 17:05
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 17:05
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 17:05
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 17:05
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -7.38%E -3.18%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 17:05
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 16:02
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 16:05
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -8.81%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:25
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -8.81%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:19
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 17:05
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.98%E -3.94%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 17:05
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -8.06%E -2.70%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 21:40
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -8.06%E -2.70%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 21:40
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 04:09
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 04:10
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -8.99%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 17:05
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 21:40
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 16:05
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 21:40
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 21:30
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-20 04:06
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 15:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.18%E -3.56%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -10.53%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 21:35
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 04:10
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 04:10
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 21:35
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -11.15%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -14.17%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-21 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 04:10
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.45%E -3.99%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 04:08
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -12.07%E -4.24%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.48%EV -12.17%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 16:04
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -12.07%E -4.24%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -10.18%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 15:59
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -15.16%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.21%EV -14.17%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-25 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.67%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-26 08:10
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-26 07:10
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-07-26 07:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-07-26 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-07-26 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-07-26 07:25