Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano v Colo Colo

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:04 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Audax Italiano (Local)

Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.25%31.47%31.60%32.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.903.0837.74%34.35%34.48%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colo Colo (Visit)

Prediction 40.07%2.50fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.33%40.20%40.01%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.252.4248.78%44.35%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.33%28.40%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.253.3935.71%31.05%30.77%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Audax Italiano (Local): 31.55%; Colo Colo (Visit): 40.07%; Draw: 28.38%. For Audax Italiano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.08, with an expected value of -2.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.83%E -0.920%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.77%EV -3.02%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 20:59
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -2.83%E -0.920%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.12%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:59
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 21:00
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 21:00
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 20:46
GTbets🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.12%EV -4.41%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.03%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.23%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:00
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -12.64%E -5.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:59
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 20:59
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:59
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -6.63%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -8.62%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -13.44%E -6.22%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 20:59
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 21:00
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 20:59
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 20:59
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 21:00
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 20:59
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 21:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 21:00
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 20:59
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 20:59
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 21:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -13.24%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 20:59
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.24%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -14.82%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -20.54%E -7.34%K -11.41%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-07 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -17.85%E -8.71%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-07 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-07 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%2.5%2026-03-07 21:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 31.86%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.13%12.9%2026-03-07 21:00