La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Audax Italiano v Colo Colo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Audax Italiano (Local)
Predicción 31.55%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.25%31.47%31.60%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.912.903.0837.74%34.35%34.48%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colo Colo (Visitante)
Predicción 40.07%2.50momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.33%40.20%40.01%42.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.252.4248.78%44.35%44.44%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%28.33%28.40%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.223.253.3935.71%31.05%30.77%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.83%E -0.920%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.77%EV -3.02%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -2.83%E -0.920%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.51%EV -5.02%E -2.12%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.63%E -4.77%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 20:46 |
| GTbets | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.12%EV -4.41%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.65%EV -7.03%E -3.03%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.23%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.64%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.65%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -12.64%E -5.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.82%E -2.48%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -6.63%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -8.62%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -13.44%E -6.22%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.51%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.79%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -9.46%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.52%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.84%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -13.24%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -13.84%E -6.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -13.24%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -11.84%E -5.38%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -14.82%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -15.84%E -7.54%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -20.54%E -7.34%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -17.85%E -8.71%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-07 20:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.86% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.13% | 12.9% | 2026-03-07 21:00 |