赔率学院

São Bernardo v Fortaleza

开赛时间： 2026-04-12 21:00 UTC

最终结果： São Bernardo 0–1 Fortaleza

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

São Bernardo (主队)

预测 36.06%2.77公平赔率
EV +0.965%
优势 +0.344%
Kelly +0.536%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.37%35.92%36.08%36.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.402.622.582.8041.67%38.19%38.76%35.71%MIN均值中位数MAX

Fortaleza (客队)

预测 33.87%2.95公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -0.734%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.89

博彩公司预测分布
32.83%33.96%33.89%35.38%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.552.682.702.8939.22%37.28%37.04%34.60%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.07%3.33公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.21

博彩公司预测分布
29.38%30.12%30.02%31.61%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.703.013.003.2137.04%33.22%33.33%31.15%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:54
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:54
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:55
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 20:55
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 20:47
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 20:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 20:55
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 20:55
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.64%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -2.12%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.02%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 20:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 20:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 20:55
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 20:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 20:55
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -7.69%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.00%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -7.98%E -2.61%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 20:54
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 20:54
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:55
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 20:54
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 20:55
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 20:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 20:55
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 35.96%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.58%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 20:55
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 35.96%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.58%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:54
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 20:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 20:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -18.80%E -6.96%K -11.06%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-12 20:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-04-12 20:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%3.4%2026-04-12 20:55