Lingua:Italiano
São Bernardo v Fortaleza
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
São Bernardo (Casa)
Previsione 36.06%2.77quota equa
EV +0.965%
Vantaggio +0.344%
Kelly +0.536%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.37%35.92%36.08%36.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.622.582.8041.67%38.19%38.76%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Fortaleza (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.87%2.95quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -0.734%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.89
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.83%33.96%33.89%35.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.682.702.8939.22%37.28%37.04%34.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 30.07%3.33quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.38%30.12%30.02%31.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.013.003.2137.04%33.22%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: São Bernardo (Casa): 36.06%; Fortaleza (Trasferta): 33.87%; Pareggio: 30.07%. Per São Bernardo (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.77. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.965%.
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 20:47 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.64%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -2.12%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.02%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -7.69%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.00%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -7.98%E -2.61%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.96%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.58%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.96%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.58%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -18.80%E -6.96%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |