L’École des cotesLangue:Français
São Bernardo v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV +0.965%
Avantage +0.344%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.37%35.92%36.08%36.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.582.8041.67%38.19%38.76%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.87%2.95cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.83%33.96%33.89%35.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.682.702.8939.22%37.28%37.04%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.38%30.12%30.02%31.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.013.003.2137.04%33.22%33.33%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV +0.965%E +0.344%K +0.536%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 20:47 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -0.838%E -0.305%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -2.64%E -0.978%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.64%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.64%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -2.12%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.02%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -6.25%E -2.40%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.28%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -6.97%E -2.70%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.94%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -7.69%E -3.00%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.00%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.52%EV -7.98%E -2.61%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.05%E -3.16%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.96%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.58%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.96%EV -8.41%E -3.31%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.58%EV -7.88%E -2.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.85%E -3.94%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -13.46%E -5.61%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -18.80%E -6.96%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 20:55 |