The School of Odds

São Bernardo v Cuiabá

2026-07-12 19:00 — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Option 1: São Bernardo (Local)

Odds
2.2843.86%Min
2.3842.07%Mean
2.4341.15%Median
2.4341.15%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.23%2.615Min
38.64%2.588Max
38.23%2.615Mean
38.23%2.615Median
38.23%2.615IQM
38.23%2.615Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.43 under the IQM model: 38.23%

EV -7.09%Edge -2.92%Kelly -4.96%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cuiabá (Visit)

Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.0832.50%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.1531.75%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.62%3.376Min
29.84%3.352Max
29.84%3.352Mean
29.84%3.352Median
29.84%3.352IQM
29.84%3.352Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.15 under the IQM model: 29.84%

EV -6.02%Edge -1.91%Kelly -2.80%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.7536.36%Min
2.8834.76%Mean
2.9533.90%Median
2.9533.90%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.74%3.151Min
31.93%3.132Max
31.93%3.132Mean
31.93%3.132Median
31.93%3.132IQM
31.93%3.132Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.95 under the IQM model: 31.93%

EV -5.81%Edge -1.97%Kelly -2.98%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSão Bernardo (Local) ▼Cuiabá (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:35
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:35
Casumo2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:35
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:35
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:34
betPARX2.43I 41.15% NM 38.53%EV -7.09% E -2.92% K -4.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -6.02% E -1.91% K -2.80% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.74%EV -5.81% E -1.97% K -2.98% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:34
BetRivers2.38I 42.02% NM 38.23%EV -9.00% E -3.78% K -6.52% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 29.84%EV -9.00% E -2.95% K -4.39% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 31.93%EV -9.00% E -3.16% K -4.87% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 19:35
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92% NM 38.33%EV -10.91% E -4.68% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.77%EV -10.49% E -3.50% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.90%EV -10.60% E -3.78% K -5.89% G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-05 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10% NM 38.43%EV -11.30% E -4.87% K -8.56% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.72%EV -10.49% E -3.50% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.84%EV -10.60% E -3.78% K -5.89% G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-05 19:35
TABtouch2.30I 43.48% NM 38.64%EV -12.06% E -5.24% K -9.28% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.62%EV -10.49% E -3.50% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.74%EV -10.60% E -3.78% K -5.89% G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86% NM 38.43%EV -12.82% E -5.62% K -10.02% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 29.70%EV -11.98% E -4.06% K -6.15% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.86%EV -12.19% E -4.43% K -6.97% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 19:35
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86% NM 38.43%EV -12.82% E -5.62% K -10.02% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 29.70%EV -11.98% E -4.06% K -6.15% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.86%EV -12.19% E -4.43% K -6.97% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth