L’École des cotesSão Bernardo v Cuiabá
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
São Bernardo (Local)
Prévision 35.47%2.82cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -2.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.71%35.65%35.57%37.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.552.602.6942.55%39.18%38.46%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cuiabá (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.95%3.13cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.837%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.20%31.88%31.82%32.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.0536.36%34.29%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.58%3.07cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.80%32.47%32.60%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.832.822.9837.04%35.37%35.46%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -4.59%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.89%EV -3.51%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -2.90%E -0.973%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -8.11%E -2.88%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -8.11%E -2.88%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.77%EV -6.01%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.68%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -4.79%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.68%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -4.79%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.72%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.12%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.34%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.84%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.14%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-12 18:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.14%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-12 12:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.14%E -4.41%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-12 12:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Bovada | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -8.50%E -3.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.35%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.14%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -2.55%E -0.837%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.02%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -11.33%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.02%E -4.45%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.56%EV -13.82%E -5.69%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -7.14%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 18:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -13.82%E -5.69%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -7.35%E -2.53%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.88%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.88%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -12.14%E -4.41%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -6.16%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-12 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.88%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-12 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -16.65%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -16.65%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-12 18:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80% | 1.6% | 2026-07-12 18:54 |