The School of Odds
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São Bernardo v Atletico Goianiense

2026-09-19 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

São Bernardo (Local)

Prediction 40.39%2.48fair odd
EV -7.10%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.21%40.39%40.39%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.262.302.3045.45%44.16%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visit)

Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%30.29%30.29%30.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.103.1034.48%32.99%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%29.32%29.32%29.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.133.203.2032.79%31.90%31.25%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: São Bernardo (Local): 40.39%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 30.29%; Draw: 29.32%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -6.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:21
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.10%E -3.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.09%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.12%E -4.05%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.12%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.93%E -4.45%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.93%E -4.45%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.93%E -4.45%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -11.14%E -5.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -12.15%E -4.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.