L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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São Bernardo v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 00:00 UTC

Score final : São Bernardo 1–0 Atletico Goianiense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

São Bernardo (Local)

Prévision 36.01%2.78cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.13%35.98%35.99%37.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.432.532.552.6841.15%39.47%39.22%37.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.39%2.99cote équitable
EV -0.498%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.58%33.27%33.38%34.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9838.46%36.35%36.36%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.60%3.27cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.51%30.75%30.63%34.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.653.023.003.1537.74%33.13%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : São Bernardo (Local) : 36.01% ; Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur) : 33.39% ; Match nul : 30.60%. Pour Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.98, pour une espérance de -0.498% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.95%EV -3.50%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -5.44%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.58%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -4.58%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -18.90%E -7.13%K -11.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:14
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:14
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:15
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -7.46%E -2.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.72%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:22
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.81%EV -7.46%E -2.90%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.10%EV -7.18%E -2.58%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.09%EV -9.42%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:20
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:24
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:15
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.72%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -9.72%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -8.54%E -3.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -0.498%E -0.167%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -8.54%E -3.36%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -0.498%E -0.167%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:14
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.13%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.25%E -3.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.52%E -4.78%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 15:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -13.19%E -5.07%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -11.87%E -4.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 05:00
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.61%EV -10.70%E -4.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:15
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-17 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-17 18:24
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.39%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.63%EV -12.18%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -9.72%E -3.30%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-09-18 15:20