La scuola delle quote

Operario PR v Nautico PE

Inizio: 2026-05-16 19:00 UTC

Finale: Operario PR 2–6 Nautico PE

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Operario PR (Casa)

Previsione 43.49%2.30quota equa
EV -4.33%
Vantaggio -1.97%
Kelly -3.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.38%43.61%43.40%44.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nautico PE (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.51%3.77quota equa
EV -0.332%
Vantaggio -0.088%
Kelly -0.120%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.02%26.43%26.58%27.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.493.503.7632.26%28.63%28.57%26.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.01%3.33quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -0.762%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%29.97%30.02%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.093.103.2535.71%32.40%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 18:25
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.58%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.61%EV -0.332%E -0.088%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.81%EV -3.08%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 18:45
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 18:40
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.92%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:44
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 18:45
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.48%E -0.762%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:40
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:15
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 18:45
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.92%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 18:45
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:45
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 18:40
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 18:55
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -9.98%E -4.82%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.42%E -5.06%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 18:55
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 18:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 18:45
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 18:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 18:25
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -12.16%E -6.02%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -12.16%E -6.02%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -12.16%E -6.02%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-16 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%0.3%2026-05-16 18:50