Langue:Français
Operario PR v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 43.49%2.30cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%43.61%43.40%44.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.51%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.332%
Avantage -0.088%
Kelly -0.120%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%26.43%26.58%27.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7632.26%28.63%28.57%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.01%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.762%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%29.97%30.02%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.2535.71%32.40%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Operario PR (Local) : 43.49% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 26.51% ; Match nul : 30.01%. Pour Nautico PE (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.77. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.76, pour une espérance de -0.332% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.58%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.61%EV -0.332%E -0.088%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.81%EV -3.08%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.92%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.90%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.48%E -0.762%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -1.92%E -0.520%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.55%E -4.59%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -9.98%E -4.82%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.42%E -5.06%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -12.16%E -6.02%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -12.16%E -6.02%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -12.16%E -6.02%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-16 18:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 18:50 |