L’École des cotesFrançais
Operario PR v Juventude
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Operario PR (Local)
Prévision 38.94%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.903%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.56%38.95%38.95%41.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.362.5146.51%42.25%42.37%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Juventude (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.69%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.327%
Avantage -0.091%
Kelly -0.126%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%27.72%27.68%30.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.38%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.16%33.33%33.36%35.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.692.702.9041.67%37.12%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.35%EV -2.27%E -0.903%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -4.55%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-05 22:40 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-05 22:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-05 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.14%EV -5.31%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.87%EV -8.55%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.71%E -0.482%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.71%E -0.482%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| BetUS | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.71%E -0.482%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -7.88%E -2.86%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.88%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.88%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -17.23%E -6.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-05 22:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -9.28%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -17.23%E -6.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-05 22:48 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-05 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -16.28%E -7.57%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-05 22:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 0.2% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99% | 1.4% | 2026-06-05 22:50 |