La escuela de los momios

Operario PR v Juventude

Inicio: 2026-06-05 23:00 UTC

Final: Operario PR 2–1 Juventude

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Operario PR (Local)

Predicción 38.94%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.903%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.56%38.95%38.95%41.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.362.5146.51%42.25%42.37%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Juventude (Visitante)

Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.327%
Ventaja -0.091%
Kelly -0.126%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%27.72%27.68%30.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.38%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.16%33.33%33.36%35.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.702.9041.67%37.12%37.04%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.35%EV -2.27%E -0.903%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.66%EV -4.55%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 22:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -2.66%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 22:40
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 22:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:29
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:30
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -0.327%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 22:30
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-05 22:50
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -14.89%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-05 22:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.55%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-05 22:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.14%EV -5.31%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.87%EV -8.55%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-05 22:49
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-05 22:49
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-05 22:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-05 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-05 22:50
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.33%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-05 22:49
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.71%E -0.482%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 22:49
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.71%E -0.482%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 22:50
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -1.71%E -0.482%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 22:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 22:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -7.88%E -2.86%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-05 22:49
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.88%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-05 22:50
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.88%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-05 22:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.86%EV -16.56%E -6.62%K -11.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-05 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -17.23%E -6.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-05 22:30
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -9.28%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -17.23%E -6.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-05 22:29
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-05 22:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-05 22:50
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-05 22:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.86%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-05 22:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-05 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-05 22:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-05 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-05 22:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-05 22:48
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -18.23%E -7.44%K -12.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-05 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -12.39%E -5.51%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -8.63%E -2.62%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -19.90%E -8.29%K -14.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-05 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -16.28%E -7.57%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -3.10%E -0.885%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-05 22:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-06-05 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%0.6%2026-06-05 22:50
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%1.4%2026-06-05 22:50