La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nautico PE v Ponte Preta
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Nautico PE (Casa)
Previsione 54.43%1.84quota equa
EV -5.28%
Vantaggio -3.04%
Kelly -7.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.57%54.38%55.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.691.701.7461.73%59.11%58.82%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ponte Preta (Trasferta)
Previsione 17.79%5.62quota equa
EV +4.95%
Vantaggio +0.840%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.050%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.82%17.61%17.95%18.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.175.105.9022.22%19.35%19.61%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.78%3.60quota equa
EV -4.17%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.93%27.82%27.67%28.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.4533.33%29.96%29.85%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -9.09%E -5.45%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV +4.95%E +0.840%K +1.01%G +0.050% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.18%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.41%EV +4.07%E +0.695%K +0.838%G +0.034% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.85%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV +3.18%E +0.548%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.85%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV +3.18%E +0.548%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +2.29%E +0.398%K +0.481%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.53%EV -11.82%E -7.29%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.89%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -8.39%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -8.39%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.76%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -11.82%E -7.29%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -9.09%E -5.45%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.37%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -13.72%E -2.83%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -11.82%E -7.29%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -19.95%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.61% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.61% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |